Page 264 - James Rodger Fleming - Fixing the sky
P. 264

Your reasoning is perfectly logical but totally insane. . . . Your thoughts [provide]
                     a concrete example of the unbelievable alienation, reductionist thinking, social
                     ruthlessness and the arrogant ignorance of many conventional “economists” con-
                     cerning the nature of the world we live in. . . . If the World Bank keeps you as vice
                     president it will lose all credibility. To me it would confirm what I often said . . . the
                     best thing that could happen would be for the Bank to disappear. 59

                 “Insane,” “reductionist,” “ruthless,” “arrogant”—such modifiers suit most geoen-
                  gineering proposals quite well. Nordhaus wrote in 2007 that geoengineering
                  is,  at  present,  “the  only  economically  competitive  technology  to  offset  glo-
                  bal warming.” 60



                  a naval rifle System

                  Frosch called his proposal to bombard the stratosphere using an array of 350
                  naval  guns  “designer  volcanic  dust  put  up  with  Jules  Verne  methods”  (figure
                     61
                  8.2).  He envisioned each $1 million, 16-inch gun being able to fire 1 ton of
                  sulfate or aluminum oxide into the stratosphere about every ten minutes. Each
                  barrel would need replacement after 1,000 to 1,500 shots. Thus a single cannon
                  would have a useful life of less than two weeks, and a total of 300,000 cannon
                  would be needed for a forty-year program! The naval guns had been designed
                  in 1939 and were first put into service in 1943, so they would have to be updated.
                  The cost of ammunition for 400 million shots was estimated at $4 trillion, the
                  barrels would be $300 billion, the firing stations $200 billion, and the person-
                  nel costs $100 billion—for a total of $5 trillion over forty years. This system
                  could deliver dust to the stratosphere for about $14 a pound, and each pound
                                                            62
                  was expected to mitigate 45 tons of carbon emissions.  Balloon delivery systems
                  were estimated to cost $36 a pound and sounding rockets, $45.
                     Frosch  was  aware  that  damaging  side  effects  could  result,  such  as  strato-
                  spheric  ozone  destruction,  widespread  drought,  or  unacceptable  atmospheric
                  haze, but he did not emphasize that. Instead, he reassured his readers that “the
                  rifle system appears to be inexpensive, to be relatively easily managed, and to
                  require few launch sites” (460). He concluded that “the rifles could be deployed
                  at sea or in military reservations where the noise of the shots and the fallback
                  of expended shells could be managed” (817–819). What Frosch forgot to take
                  into  account  was  the  lower  tropospheric  air  pollution  generated  by  the  bom-
                  bardments.  If,  for  example,  each  650-pound  explosive  charge  contained  pure




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