Page 183 - James Rodger Fleming - Fixing the sky
P. 183

computing, and space and in other cases through dual-use or surplus hardware.
                   We know that the emergence of modern meteorology is, in many ways, a product
                   of two world wars and the cold war. We also know that in the Vietnam era, only
                   a very few people knew about secret cloud seeding over the Ho Chi Minh Trail,
                   originating as it did directly from the White House. This dynamic continues
                   today. Geoscientists with high-level security clearances share associations, values,
                   and interests with national security elites. Both groups agree on the necessity of
                   preserving deniability in top-secret programs. We know with certainty that his-
                   torically, weather and climate control have been portrayed as weapons that might
                   be used against enemies without their knowledge—or the knowledge of lower-
                   level operatives and the wider public.
                     The military roots of meteorology can be traced from the deep past through
                   the history of the cold war and Vietnam eras. In addition to traditional goals of
                   being able to function and prevail under all environmental conditions, weather
                   warriors have attempted to weaponize weather control. In the early cold war
                   era, they were particularly active in experimentation on cloud seeding, in hur-
                   ricane modification efforts such as Project Stormfury, and in rainmaking efforts
                   in Vietnam. The United Nations Convention on the Prohibition of Military or
                   Any other Hostile Use of Environmental Modification Techniques (ENMoD),
                   which entered into force in 1978, marks the end of this era and serves as a land-
                   mark treaty that may have to be revisited soon to avoid or at least try to mitigate
                   possible military or hostile use of climate control or geoengineering. If, as has
                   been recently asserted but not yet demonstrated, “[c]limate change has the power
                   to unsettle boundaries and shake up geopolitics, usually for the worse,”  it is cer-
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                   tain that the governments of the world will have their strategic military planners
                   working in secret on both worst-case scenarios and technological responses.




                   Weather in Wars and battles

                   The weather has often been called the most violent variable in human affairs; that
                   characterization could also apply to military affairs. Generals “mud” and “winter”
                   and admiral “storm” have always had a big influence on the outcome of battles.
                   Historians attribute the devastating defeat of the Roman general Varus and three
                   of his legions in Germany in 9 c.e. to a combination of treachery, poor strategy,
                   rough terrain, and bad weather; the kamikaze (divine winds), legendary protec-
                   tors of Japan, destroyed Mongol emperor Kublai Khan’s invading force not once
                   but twice, in 1274 and 1281; and British history teaches that favorable winds and
                   gales contributed mightily to the defeat of the Spanish Armada in 1588.


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